The BJP will retain Himachal Pradesh and beat the trend of change in government – from Congress to BJP and vice versa – seen over the past few elections in the hill state, exit polls conducted by news channels projected on Monday.
Pollsters conduct exit polls for news channels. An exit poll is different from the opinion poll in that in the latter, voters are asked who they intend to vote for, while in the former, voters are asked who they voted for (after exiting the voting booth; hence ‘exit poll’). However, it is important to note that an exit poll is just a projection of the number of seats political parties are likely to win. The actual result, on the other hand, may be completely different.
Meanwhile, over the past few elections, Himachal Pradesh has seen a change in government from Congress to BJP and vice versa. In the 2017 polls, the saffron party won 48 seats (up from 26 in 2012) and secured a 48.8% vote share. The Congress, on the other hand, saw its seat tally slump from 36 to 21, and won 41.7% of the votes. The BJP’s Jairam Thakur became the chief minister after the party’s CM candidate — former chief minister Prem Kumar Dhumal — lost the election.
In the 2022 polls, the hill state recorded a turnout of nearly 76%.
Follow all the updates here:
Dec 05, 2022 09:06 PM IST
BJP to win Himachal: ABP-C Voter
ABP C-Voter gives Himachal Pradesh to BJP at 33-41 seats, and Congress projected to win 24-32 seats.
Dec 05, 2022 08:39 PM IST
India Today predicts Congress win
According to India Today-Axis My India, the Congress would win 30-40 seats, and the BJP, 24-34.
Dec 05, 2022 08:21 PM IST
India TV-Matrize gives Himachal to BJP
BJP to win 35-40 seats, and Congress to bag 26-31 seats in Himachal Pradesh, as per India TV-Matrize exit poll.
Dec 05, 2022 07:54 PM IST
News24-Chanakya projects ‘tie’ between BJP-Congress
BJP-Congress to win 33 seats each (+- 7), while others to win two seats. Vote shares at 42%, 42% and 16% respectively.
Dec 05, 2022 07:39 PM IST
‘We should wait till December 8’: Himachal CM on exit polls
Many of the exit polls are showing BJP forming govt while some show a neck-to-neck fight on a few seats. We should wait till December 8 (results day). According to our analysis there’s complete possibility of BJP comfortably forming the govt: BJP leader and CM Jairam Thakur
Dec 05, 2022 07:18 PM IST
AAP to displace BJP from MCD; BJP to retain Gujarat: Exit polls
News channels are also giving out their exit polls for the Gujarat assembly election, and the Delhi civic body polls. BJP to win Gujarat, where it has been in power since 1995 (six terms), and AAP to displace BJP from MCD, which has been with the saffron party since 2007.
Dec 05, 2022 06:53 PM IST
BJP looking to reverse trend of govt change
In Himachal Pradesh, the BJP is looking to beat anti-incumbency, as well as to reverse the trend of government change after every five years over the last few state polls (Congress to BJP, BJP to Congress).
Dec 05, 2022 06:38 PM IST
BJP to retain, Congress second: Exit polls
Republic-P-Marq: BJP (34-39, 44.8%), Congress (28-33, 42.9%)
Times Now-ETG: BJP (38, 45.1%), Congress (28, 40.9%)
NewsX-Jan Ki Baat: BJP (32-40), Congress (27-34)
Zee News: BJP (35-40), Congress (20-25)
Dec 05, 2022 06:03 PM IST
In 2017, the BJP pushed Congress out of power by winning 44 seats (26 in 2012) in the 68-seat assembly. The Congress, on the other hand, slumped to 21 seats (from 36 in 2012).
Dec 05, 2022 05:47 PM IST
Who all have conducted exit polls?
India Today has conducted its exit poll with Axis My India, ABP with C Voter, Times Now with ETG, Republic TV with P-Marq, NewsX with Jan Ki Baat, and News24 with Today’s Chanakya.
Dec 05, 2022 05:13 PM IST
Himachal Pradesh exit polls today
News channels will release the result of their exit polls for Himachal Pradesh assembly election, after 6:30pm. The Election Commission had banned exit polls from 8am on November 11 until 6:30pm on December 5.